NFL week #8

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5-3-1 LW. 28-27-3. My MNF record makes it look worse.

Today's card:

Cleveland (+5')
The Pats are 2-9 as a HF against non-division teams and have lost their last 4 in that role.

NE is also 3-10 ATS at home after facing Miami.

They finally broke their streak against Miami and now they come home to play a team that just lost to what some believe is the worst team in the league (San Diego).

Cleveland is 9-2 ATS on the road in their L11.

Both teams are struggling on the O-Line, which will force a lot of passing today.

Cleveland's cover 2 has not given up the big plays very much this year through the air.
They are only allowing 163 yards passing.

The Pats have been the talk of the league (some of it anyway) by winning with all of these injuries. However, this is a flat spot for them. They have MNF on deck versus Denver and off a big win at Miami.


I may add Denver, but I am still undecided.

I also liked St. Louis b/c this number looks awful small. However, their road trends are keeping me off it.

NY Giants (+6')
Whenever Fassel is against it, he seems to find a way to save himself.

The Giants are really up against it here, but I think they can force some turnovers to keep it close.

The Giants are moving the ball well, but they just shoot themselves in the foot.

Tennessee (-4)
The Titans are 5-2 ATS on the road versus teams off a bye.

The Jags are 4th in the league in rush defense, but that shouldn't be a problem since McNair has been on fire and has not turned the ball over very much.

I just think the rookie Leftwich will make some mistakes versus Tennessee who got a ton of pressure on Delhomme LW.

Dallas (+6')
When Parcells talks his team down, that means they're pretty good.

Dallas is 5-1 ATS on the road versus non-division teams their L6. Parcells is also 16-6 ATS as a dog when coaching teams in his first year. He has them believing here.

Yes, Dallas has beaten mostly scrubs and mid-pack teams, but we all know that and the linesmakers are expecting us to take Tampa Bay on part of that reasoning.

Quincy Carter has found a #1 target with Terry Glenn and Brian Kelly is out for this one as well as John Lynch (doubtful). Expect the Pokes to exploit Tim Wamsley like the Colts did in the 2nd half.

Tampa may shut the Pokes down, but I don't see their offense putting up a lot of points either.

Carolina (+2')
The visitor is 5-1 ATS in the L6 in this series.

The Saints have beaten 2 of the worst teams in the league while Carolina got embarrassed by Tennessee LW.

This line looks small here. I gotta go with the dog.

Buffalo (+6')
The Bills are 7-3 ATS on the road versus non-division teams.

The Bills also are running the ball better and the Chiefs are not that great stopping the run.

This is a big #, go with the Bills.
 

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